RealClearPolitics Electoral College

(270 Electoral Votes Needed To Win)

Last Ten Elections:  2004 | 2000 | 1996 | 1992 | 1988 | 1984 | 1980 | 1976 | 1972 | 1968

Obama/Biden 365    McCain/Palin 173
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Obama 278, McCain 132, Toss Ups 128  |  No Toss Ups: Obama 338, McCain 200
Solid Obama     Leaning Obama     Solid McCain     Leaning McCain     Toss Up     (Click Header to Sort)
StateObama (D)McCain (R)RCP AverageRCP Status20042000
Florida (27)49.047.2Obama +1.8 Toss UpBush +5.0Bush +0.1
North Carolina (15)48.048.4McCain +0.4 Toss UpBush +12.4Bush +12.8
Missouri (11)47.848.5McCain +0.7 Toss UpBush +7.2Bush +3.3
Indiana (11)46.447.8McCain +1.4 Toss UpBush +20.7Bush +15.7
Georgia (15)45.849.8McCain +4.0 Toss UpBush +16.6Bush +11.7
Montana (3)45.048.8McCain +3.8 Toss UpBush +20.5Bush +25.0
Arizona (10)45.849.3McCain +3.5 Toss UpBush +10.5Bush +6.3
Virginia (13)50.245.8Obama +4.4 Toss UpBush +8.2Bush +8.1
Ohio (20)48.846.3Obama +2.5 Toss UpBush +2.1Bush +3.5
Colorado (9)50.845.3Obama +5.5 LeaningBush +4.7Bush +8.4
Nevada (5)50.343.8Obama +6.5 LeaningBush +2.6Bush +3.5
Pennsylvania (21)51.043.7Obama +7.3 LeaningKerry +2.5Gore +4.2
New Mexico (5)50.343.0Obama +7.3 LeaningBush +0.7Gore +0.1
South Dakota (3)42.050.3McCain +8.3 LeaningBush +21.5Bush +22.7
West Virginia (5)42.451.4McCain +9.0 LeaningBush +12.9Bush +6.3
Arkansas (6)43.052.3McCain +9.3 LeaningBush +9.7Bush +5.4
Minnesota (10)51.641.8Obama +9.8 LeaningKerry +3.5Gore +2.4
New Hampshire (4)52.842.2Obama +10.6 SolidKerry +1.3Bush +1.3
South Carolina (8)43.053.0McCain +10.0 SolidBush +17.1Bush +15.9
Wisconsin (10)52.841.8Obama +11.0 SolidKerry +0.4Gore +0.2
Mississippi (6)39.350.7McCain +11.4 SolidBush +19.6Bush +16.9
Iowa (7)54.038.7Obama +15.3 SolidBush +0.7Gore +0.3
New Jersey (15)54.539.0Obama +15.5 SolidKerry +6.7Gore +15.8
Oregon (7)55.339.7Obama +15.6 SolidKerry +4.2Gore +0.5
Washington (11)53.740.7Obama +13.0 SolidKerry +8.2Gore +5.5
Michigan (17)52.539.0Obama +13.5 SolidKerry +3.4Gore +5.2
Maine (4)54.438.8Obama +15.6 SolidKerry +9.0Gore +5.1
Texas (34)40.553.5McCain +13.0 SolidBush +22.9Bush +21.3
California (55)58.734.3Obama +24.4 SolidKerry +9.9Gore +11.8
Massachusetts (12)57.035.7Obama +21.3 SolidKerry +25.1Gore +27.3
Kentucky (8)41.054.5McCain +13.5 SolidBush +19.9Bush +15.1
Alaska (3)41.355.8McCain +14.5 SolidBush +25.6Bush +30.9
Connecticut (7)55.336.0Obama +19.3 SolidKerry +10.3Gore +17.5
New York (31)62.032.3Obama +29.7 SolidKerry +18.3Gore +25.0
Tennessee (11)38.852.8McCain +14.0 SolidBush +14.3Bush +3.9
Alabama (9)33.556.8McCain +23.3 SolidBush +25.7Bush +14.9
Illinois (21)59.034.3Obama +24.7 SolidKerry +10.4Gore +12.0