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With two disastrous debate performances behind it, the Obama-Biden ticket is in trouble. President Obama’s supporters assumed the win was in the bag. Though Mitt Romney is taking the lead in national polls, Democratic strategists confidently argued Mr. Romney lacked a path to electoral victory because he would have to “run the table” of the swing states in order to win. Mr. Romney is turning out to be more of a pool shark than they expected.

The latest battleground polls show a Romney surge in the critical swing states. The nine most noted swing states are Florida (29 electoral votes), Ohio (18), North Carolina (15), Virginia (13), Wisconsin (10), Colorado (9), Iowa (6), Nevada (6), and New Hampshire (4). Mr. Romney has a base of 191 electoral votes and needs another 79 to win. The four largest states on the list have a combined 75 electoral votes, so if he wins them he would only need to add the smallest of the states, New Hampshire. Securing five of nine will win it.

 
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