RCP Average: Murphy +14.4
RCP Ranking: Likely Dem
----------PAST KEY RACES----------
2016: President | NJ-5
2014: Senate
2013: Governor | Senate (Special)
2012: President | NJ-3 | NJ-7
2010: NJ-3 | NJ-6 | NJ-12
2009: Governor
2008: President | Senate | NJ-3 | NJ-7
2006: Senate
2004: President
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Murphy (D) | Guadagno (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 55.6 | 42.3 | Murphy +13.3 |
| RCP Average | 10/14 - 11/5 | -- | -- | 49.5 | 35.1 | Murphy +14.4 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 10/30 - 11/5 | 662 LV | 5.2 | 53 | 41 | Murphy +12 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 10/31 - 11/1 | 800 LV | 4.0 | 50 | 35 | Murphy +15 |
| GravisGravis | 10/30 - 11/1 | 611 RV | 4.0 | 46 | 32 | Murphy +14 |
| MonmouthMonmouth | 10/27 - 10/31 | 529 LV | 4.3 | 53 | 39 | Murphy +14 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/26 - 10/28 | 540 LV | 4.2 | 47 | 31 | Murphy +16 |
| Suffolk*Suffolk* | 10/25 - 10/28 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 49 | 33 | Murphy +16 |
| Stockton Stockton | 10/18 - 10/24 | 525 LV | 4.3 | 51 | 37 | Murphy +14 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 10/14 - 10/16 | 679 LV | 3.5 | 47 | 33 | Murphy +14 |
All 2017 New Jersey Governor - Guadagno vs. Murphy Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Murphy (D) | Guadagno (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 55.6 | 42.3 | Murphy +13.3 |
| RCP Average | 10/14 - 11/5 | -- | -- | 49.5 | 35.1 | Murphy +14.4 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 10/30 - 11/5 | 662 LV | 5.2 | 53 | 41 | Murphy +12 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 10/31 - 11/1 | 800 LV | 4.0 | 50 | 35 | Murphy +15 |
| GravisGravis | 10/30 - 11/1 | 611 RV | 4.0 | 46 | 32 | Murphy +14 |
| MonmouthMonmouth | 10/27 - 10/31 | 529 LV | 4.3 | 53 | 39 | Murphy +14 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/26 - 10/28 | 540 LV | 4.2 | 47 | 31 | Murphy +16 |
| Suffolk*Suffolk* | 10/25 - 10/28 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 49 | 33 | Murphy +16 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 10/19 - 10/24 | 1049 LV | 4.2 | 57 | 37 | Murphy +20 |
| Stockton Stockton | 10/18 - 10/24 | 525 LV | 4.3 | 51 | 37 | Murphy +14 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 10/14 - 10/16 | 679 LV | 3.5 | 47 | 33 | Murphy +14 |
| Fairleigh DickinsonFDU | 10/11 - 10/15 | 658 LV | 4.5 | 47 | 32 | Murphy +15 |
| Stockton Stockton | 10/4 - 10/12 | 585 LV | 4.1 | 51 | 33 | Murphy +18 |
| EmersonEmerson | 9/28 - 10/1 | 300 LV | 5.6 | 46 | 35 | Murphy +11 |
| MonmouthMonmouth | 9/28 - 10/1 | 452 LV | 4.6 | 51 | 37 | Murphy +14 |
| Suffolk*Suffolk* | 9/19 - 9/23 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 44 | 25 | Murphy +19 |
| FOX News*FOX News* | 9/17 - 9/19 | 804 RV | 3.5 | 42 | 29 | Murphy +13 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 9/7 - 9/12 | 875 LV | 4.5 | 58 | 33 | Murphy +25 |
| NBC 4/MaristNBC 4/Marist | 7/13 - 7/18 | 817 RV | 3.4 | 54 | 33 | Murphy +21 |
| MonmouthMonmouth | 7/6 - 7/9 | 758 RV | 3.6 | 53 | 26 | Murphy +27 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 6/7 - 6/12 | 1103 RV | 3.8 | 55 | 26 | Murphy +29 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 4/26 - 5/1 | 1209 RV | 2.8 | 50 | 25 | Murphy +25 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 3/9 - 3/13 | 1098 RV | 3.0 | 47 | 25 | Murphy +22 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 1/26 - 1/30 | 1240 RV | 2.8 | 45 | 29 | Murphy +16 |